Donald Trump - The 2016 Political Analysis

Welcome back, mates! If you were here for my political analysis on Hillary Clinton, you knew that this one was coming. Now, before we begin, as I said before: despite what you might think about any candidates, in any country, for any political election or decision, always remember to do your fact checking first, especially before you make up your mind on a theory, or conspiracy that may seem a bit, well, hard to believe.

Now, I present to you, the complete political analysis of Donald Trump, entrepreneur, and outspoken political figure with his eyes set on the White House as his “first” office. This will be an unbiased review of his past, present, political resume, stances on the issues, controversies, poll rankings, and anything else you need to know to cast your vote.

All information is as it was, on 8/17/2016. If you would like to get this information updated please email me at the Contact page.
 
Basic Information (The Facts)

Donald Trump is a real estate developer, born in New York City, to Frederick and Mary Trump. He’s was the 2nd youngest of five children. Trump grew up to be much like his father, who was also a real estate developer, becoming wildly successful by the time Donald was born. Sent away at thirteen to military academy, he graduated in 1964 as both a star student, and star athlete. He graduated from the Wharton School of Finance with a degree in economics in 1968, after switching from Fordham University. Donald Trump was always an assertive child, who was well off both socially and academically from a young age. He looked up to his father, and after he graduated, went to work for the company full time. He helped finance an expansion of the company, and encouraged his father to become more liberal with the business finances. In 1971, he took control over the business, and renamed it the Trump Organization. During the Vietnam War, Trump was not put into service. The draft was postponed for him being a student, and by the time he was reentered in it after collage, the number he was assigned was relatively high, and he would not likely be picked for the war which was close to ending, despite him being physically fit to fight.

(biography.com) (trump.com) (wikipedia.org)
 
Political Resume (What Has He Done?)

Trump is well known for his work with business, particularly in real estate, sports, beauty pageants, branding, and some others. Trump is also known for his television personality, particularly “The Apprentice”, as well as cameos in Zoolander, Home Alone 2, and others. His political views are confusing, and are often described by analysts as being eccentric and contradictory. He has campaigned for the US Reform Party on occasion, and has generally confusing party loyalty. In the 1970s, he was an early supporter of President Regan, and by the 1990s, identified fully as a Republican (up to this point, his position was unclear). He has funded several campaigns for both Democratic and Republican parties, and although he has supported more often on the Democratic side, his donations to Republicans have been, on average, of more favorable size. Trump has been toying with the idea of running for president since interviews and claims as early as 1988. Trump sought the presidential nomination for the Reform Party in 1999, eventually getting it, but lost out big time to both Al Gore, and George Bush, with a minuscule 7% support. Around 2013, speculating on the subject of Trump running for president began circulating in the news. After several comments about the auto industry, and a failure to renew his contract for The Apprentice, he eventually made an official statement. Other than political talk, and his recent run for the position, he has never held a political office.

(trump.com) (wikipedia.org)
 
Trump on The Issues (What Does He Stand For?)
 
Immigration – Trump has very strong opinions on immigrants. Despite what might be said otherwise, he believes that most of them are criminals, and should be treated as so. He states we need to take extensive measures to stop illegal immigration.

Foreign Policy - He wants to stop illegal immigration, along with ensuring that no foreign threats can infiltrate the country.

Abortion – Trump believes in the right to life, and that aborting makes a country look bad. In general, Trump is Pro-life.

Economy and Jobs – In one of Trump’s strongest points, he has made it very clear that he wants to bring back jobs to America, and put up tariffs on so called “free trades”, with countries who exploit American policies.

Guns – Trump thinks gun control doesn’t makes since, and that it would only make the criminals stronger in the end. He believes that the majority of law abiding citizens should stay armed for their protection.

Health Care – Trump hasn’t said much on the topic of healthcare, except that he has plans to repeal Obamacare (universal healthcare), and replace it with “something much better”.

Civil Liberties – Trump has confusing stances on civil liberties. He has made several points clear, including a desire to ramp up surveillance, as well as ensure that every citizen of the country can live a safe, prosperous life.

Crime and Safety – Trump wants to dedicate more power to the law, enabling them to reduce crime, as well as, make a safer country for all.

Taxes – Trump’s tax plan is designed to eliminate “job killing” fees on citizens and corporations, to encourage a healthier middle class, and make the country more attractive for business.

Energy – Trump supports green energy, but does not exclude nonrenewable sources, such as coal, or oil, from his plan to ensure our future energy needs are met, especially when they work “much better”.

Education – Trump is a strong supporter of education, however, he does believe it needs to be at the local level, instead of a broad, national standard of education being implemented.

Environment – Trump wants the environment to be clean, however, it is not a big issue on his mind. He has yet to fully support “global warming”, as a scientific fact.

Veterans – Trump believes that the veterans of the country should be held in high regard, and that they should have the unaliable right to choose their medical provider, at the government’s expense.

Budget and Spending – Trump wants to make big budget cuts to government spending, in the interest of paying off the national debt, and supporting a more free political sphere for businesses. He has made it clear that he wants to cut the department of education (in favor of local education).

Medicare and Social Security – Trump wants to replace the countries universal healthcare with “something better”, and does not want to harm social security, or make any cuts to it.

National Security – Trump wants to be tough on foreign terrorists, as made clear by his openness of using nuclear weapons, as well as, torture techniques to ensure the country is secure from future attacks.
(Issues and responses were taken from Google compilation.)
 
The Controversy (Did He Just Say That?)
Donald Trump is a particularly hard case to follow when it comes to conspiracy and controversy. He is known for telling it how it is, and for not keeping any secrets, but his desire to do so has led to many of his supporters waning away. Some more recent statements (as well as some old ones) made on the issue have been:
 
Unclear Issues (from theatlantic.com)
 
Beauty Pageant Scandals – Allegedly, Trump (who operates and funds beauty pageants) was making sexual passes at some of the girls, including inviting them over to parties, as well as, making sexist remarks, and supposedly groping some of the participants. Donald Trump was convicted and sued by Jill Harth (a contestant) for said misbehavior. Trump denies the conviction, but did pay an undisclosed amount to Jill so she would drop the case.

Racial Discrimination – The Department of Justice sued Trump’s father, Frederick Trump, for alleged discrimination against people of color in New York locations of their company. Some attorneys working for the Trump family fired back, suing for false conviction, but in the end, no one won anything, and the company agreed not to discriminate anyone in the future.

Trump University – Trump started an online “school” in which he would hire handpicked investors and experts to help teach some of his money making secrets, and how to get rich like he did. Many students shelled out large sums of money for the program, and called it a scam, for the faculty at the establishment (allegedly) neither being handpicked, nor properly informed about what they were supposed to be teaching. Several legal cases have been made against the online program, but nothing has been determined for sure.
 
Direct Statements/Actions (here’s just six of them)
 
When asked about his first action as president, he said he would put a huge tax on foreign cars in the US, including Mercedes (mentioned specifically) - time.com

If she wasn’t his daughter, Donald says that he would date Ivanka Trump - time.com

Trump wrote down and disclosed Lindsey Grams phone number, encouraging everyone in the crowd to call it, and lock up her phone - nydailynews.com

Trump has made several remarks on immigrants, specifically that they are mostly made up of criminals and rapists - newsday.com

Trump mocked Hillary Clinton’s sex life, saying that if she couldn’t satisfy her husband, how would she satisfy America - nydailynews.com

On more than one occasion, Trump has made it clear that he doesn’t want any Muslim immigrants coming in or out of the country until the terrorists in the Middle East subside - newsday.com
 
Overview (His Chances? /Pros and Cons)
In general, Donald Trump is a strong advocate for conservative ideologies, as well as, some confusing stances on several key issues in the election. The main point of his campaign is the repair of the economy, which includes the likes of reducing spending, placing restrictions on foreign goods, and supporting a healthier middle class. Despite having no political resume, he is still somewhat knowledgeable of current and past political issues, and still sports a healthy business resume from his company. Although he is not very well known for private dealings, Trump has his share of controversy, including some alleged scams, and several profane and arrogant statements about various ethnic groups and races. In general, due to his many claims, he is generally considered to be much more open and honest than his major adversary, Hillary Clinton, who ranks higher than him in terms of political prowess, but falls behind him in terms of trustworthiness. According to Real Clear Politics, a poll compilation website, Trump is far behind Clinton, with only 41.2 points in favor of him, and 47 in favor of his rival. Trump has been lagging behind since the beginning of the cycle last October, and has only managed to come close to, or get ahead of Mrs. Clinton on 5 occasions (Source/Updates). In terms of voter favorability, Trump is not the preferred choice, with 32.6 points in favor of him, and 61.8 against him (Source/Updates). In terms of electoral votes, Trump is once again, behind Mrs. Clinton, with only 154 for Him, as opposed to 276 for Her (Source/Updates).
 
Based upon the numbers given to me as of the date mentioned at the top, when cross comparing pros versus cons, views on the issues (I Side With), recent polls, electoral votes, favorability/un-favorability, and other factors, if a nationwide referendum were to be called to either put Donald Trump in office, or not, I put his chances of winning at 44.24% (keep in mind, this just a number, I’m no wizard!).
 
Source:
Pros/Cons (self-determined) – 15 to 12 (55%)
Polls (compilation) – 41.2 to 47 (46.7%) - (RCP)
Favorability (compilation) – 32.6 to 61.8 (34.5%) - (RCP)
On the issues (11 issues polled) – 542 to 548 (49.2%) - (I Side With)
Electoral Votes (estimated) – 154 to 276 (35.8%) - (RCP)
 
Thanks for reading, everyone! If you were informed, educated, or otherwise had your knowledge grown, I encourage you to give a like or a comment, as you please (it really helps). With that said, now that we’ve covered both candidates, next week, I’ll be moving on the final post in this series (hopefully), a showdown between the two, and give you my educated opinion on who’s going to win the election. Once again, thanks for reading, and as I said before, if you would like to help me add to this post, please visit the contact page, and send me a message. Bye!